2026 draft season · RB
Williams versus Jacobs is a rarity: two backs with near-every-down roles, similar ages and offenses that both want to run. Williams wins on touchdown equity inside a scheme that funnels red-zone work to him; Jacobs wins on pure carry volume and durability, having answered every workload question ever asked of him. Our value-over-replacement board currently favors Jacobs on total-touch predictability — the live order is on the running back rankings page, with the figures behind it subscriber-only at $5/month or $40/year.
Williams operates in one of the league's most concentrated backfields: Sean McVay's offense has historically fed one back almost everything, including the passing downs, and Williams has held that job outright.
Jacobs has been a true bell-cow for years, topping the sport in carries in a season and never ceding meaningful early-down work. His receiving role grew again, which removes the one hole in his profile.
Green Bay's offense is ascending and its line is a genuine rushing unit, giving Jacobs both volume and efficiency support. An improving passing game also keeps defenses honest at the line.
Los Angeles asks a lot of Williams in the red zone, and a scoring offense converts that role into touchdowns reliably. The concern is a front office that keeps drafting running backs, which is how concentrated backfields stop being concentrated.
Both are in their prime years with clean recent availability, which makes this one of the rare comparisons where neither side carries a health discount. The tiebreaker is the role, not the medical file.
Jacobs has the longer track record of absorbing a full season; Williams has done it for fewer years but at a similar touch rate.
This page is deliberately qualitative: no projected points, ranks or value-over-replacement figures appear here. Subscribers see the full RB board, every scoring format and the weekly refresh — $5/month or $40/year.
Our value-over-replacement board currently favors Jacobs on total-touch volume, with Williams the better touchdown bet. The public top five at running back is on the running back rankings page.
It matters more for Williams, whose backfield is the more concentrated of the two and therefore the more exposed to a staff adding competition. Jacobs has kept lead roles through multiple coaching staffs.
Projected points and value-over-replacement figures for both are subscriber-only, at $5/month or $40/year.